6. OUR OPERATING RESULTS ARE DIFFICULT TO PREDICT IN ADVANCE AND MAY FLUCTUATE
SIGNIFICANTLY, AND A FAILURE TO MEET THE EXPECTATIONS OF SECURITIES ANALYSTS OR
INVESTORS WOULD LIKELY RESULT IN A SUBSTANTIAL DECLINE IN OUR STOCK PRICE.
There is little historical financial
information that is useful in evaluating our business, prospects and future
operating results. You should not rely on quarter-to-quarter comparisons of our
results of operations as an indication of our future performance. We expect our
future operating results to fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter. If
our operating results fail to meet or exceed the expectations of securities
analysts or investors, our stock price would likely decline substantially.
Factors that are likely to cause our results to fluctuate include the following:
- the gain or loss of significant customers or significant changes in purchasing
volume;
- the amount and timing of our operating
expenses and capital expenditures;
- changes in the volume of our product
sales and pricing concessions on volume sales; - fluctuations in manufacturing
yields;
- cancellations, changes or delays of
deliveries to us by our manufacturer;
- the timing, rescheduling or
cancellation of customer orders;
- the varying length of our sales
cycles;
- the availability and pricing of
competing products and technologies and the resulting effect on sales and
pricing of our products;
- our ability to specify, develop,
complete, introduce and market new products and technologies and bring them to
volume production in a timely manner;
- fluctuations in the cost and
availability of raw materials, such as wafers, chip packages and chip
capacitors; - the cost and availability of manufacturing, assembly and test
capacity;
- fluctuations in the cost and
availability of components, such as dynamic random access memory, or DRAM,
that our customers require to build systems that incorporate our products;
- the rate of adoption and acceptance of
new industry standards in our target markets;
- seasonality in some of our target
markets; - the effectiveness of our product cost reduction efforts and those
of our suppliers;
- problems or delays due to shifting our
products to smaller geometry process technologies and designing our products
to achieve higher levels of design integration;
- changes in the mix of products we
sell;
- changes in demand by the end users of
our customers' products;
- variability of our customers' product
life cycles; and - changes in the average selling prices of our
microprocessors or the products that incorporate them. Because a large portion
of our expenses, including rent, salaries and capital leases, is fixed and
difficult to reduce, if our revenue does not meet our expectations, the
adverse effect of the revenue shortfall will be magnified by the fixed nature
of our expenses.
7. COMPETITION IN THE SEMICONDUCTOR MARKET IS INTENSE;
MANY OF OUR COMPETITORS AND POTENTIAL COMPETITORS ARE MUCH LARGER THAN WE ARE
AND HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY GREATER RESOURCES; WE MAY NOT BE ABLE TO COMPETE
EFFECTIVELY.
The market for microprocessors is intensely competitive,
rapidly evolving and subject to rapid technological change. We believe that
competition will become more intense in the future and may cause price
reductions, reduced gross margins and loss of market share, any one of which
could significantly reduce our future revenue or any income. Significant
competitors that offer microprocessors for the notebook computer market include
Advanced Micro Devices and Intel. Significant competitors that offer
microprocessors for the Internet appliance market include manufacturers of RISC
microprocessors such as licensees of ARM technology and licensees of MIPS
technology. In addition, we face competition from providers of x86 compatible
microprocessors for the Internet appliance market, including National
Semiconductor. Many of our current and potential competitors have longer
operating histories, significantly greater financial, technical, product
development and marketing resources, greater name recognition and significantly
larger customer bases than we do. Our competitors may be able to develop
products comparable or superior to those we offer, adapt more quickly than we do
to new technologies, evolving industry trends and customer requirements, and
devote greater resources to the development, promotion and sale of their
products than we can. Many of our competitors also have well-established
relationships with our existing and prospective customers and suppliers. In
addition, many of our competitors, either alone or with other companies, have
significant influence in our target markets. Negotiating and maintaining
favorable customer and strategic relationships are and will continue to be
critical to our business. If our competitors negotiate strategic relationships
on more favorable terms than we are able to negotiate, or if they structure
relationships that impair our ability to form strategic relationships, our
competitive position and our business would be substantially damaged.
Furthermore, a number of these competitors may merge or form strategic
relationships that would enable them to offer, or bring to market earlier,
products that are superior to ours in terms of features, quality, pricing or
other factors. We expect additional competition from other established and
emerging companies. We may not be able to compete effectively against current
and potential competitors, especially those with significantly greater resources
and market leverage.
8. OUR PRODUCTS MAY HAVE DEFECTS, WHICH COULD HARM OUR REPUTATION, DECREASE
MARKET ACCEPTANCE OF OUR PRODUCTS, CAUSE US TO LOSE CUSTOMERS AND REVENUE, AND
RESULT IN LIABILITY TO US.
Highly complex products such as our
microprocessors may contain either hardware or software defects or bugs. Often,
these defects and bugs are not detected until after the products have been
shipped. If any of our products contains defects, or has reliability, quality or
compatibility problems, our reputation might be damaged significantly and
customers might be reluctant to buy our products, which could harm our ability
to retain or attract customers. In addition, these defects could interrupt or
delay sales. We may have to invest significant capital and other resources to
correct these problems. If any of these problems are not found until after we
have commenced commercial production of a new product, we might incur
substantial additional development costs. If we fail to provide solutions to the
problems, such as software upgrades or patches, we could also incur product
recall, repair or replacement costs. These problems might also result in claims
against us by our customers or others. In addition, these problems may divert
our technical and other resources from other development efforts. Moreover, we
would likely lose, or experience a delay in, market acceptance of the affected
product or products, and we could lose credibility with our current and
prospective customers. This is particularly significant as we are a new entrant
to a market dominated by large well-established companies.
9. WE EXPECT TO DERIVE A SUBSTANTIAL PORTION OF OUR REVENUE FROM A SMALL NUMBER
OF CUSTOMERS, AND OUR REVENUE WOULD DECLINE SIGNIFICANTLY IF ANY MAJOR CUSTOMER
CANCELS, REDUCES OR DELAYS A PURCHASE OF OUR PRODUCTS.
We expect that a small number of OEM
customers and distributors will account for a significant portion of our
revenue. As a result, our future success will depend upon the timing and size of
future purchase orders, if any, from these customers and, in particular: - the
success of these customers in marketing products that incorporate our products;
- the product requirements of these customers; and - the financial and
operational success of these customers. We expect that our distributor
agreements will be nonexclusive and will not contain minimum purchase
commitments. Should any distributor fail to emphasize sales of our products,
choose to emphasize alternative products or promote products of our competitors,
our revenue and results of operations would be harmed. We expect that our sales
to OEM customers will be made on the basis of purchase orders rather than
long-term commitments. In addition, customers can delay, modify or cancel orders
without penalty. Many of our customers are significantly larger than we are and
have sufficient bargaining power to demand lower prices and better terms. The
loss of any one of our future major customers, or the delay of significant
orders from these customers, could reduce or delay our recognition of product
revenue and harm our reputation in the industry.